Fuerte San Franciscovs
Municipal Limeño
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Limeño · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Municipal Limeño, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 Municipal Limeño
Original prediction
Municipal Limeño
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 21.9% | 20.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.6% | 27.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 50.5% | 52.1% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Municipal Limeño
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Limeño
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Municipal Limeño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60