Fuerte San Franciscovs
Firpo
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Firpo, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 Firpo
Original prediction
Firpo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.28 | 17.0% | 9.4% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.4% | 21.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.5% | 69.6% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Projected Score
Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Firpo
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
69.6%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fuerte San FranciscoDDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FirpoWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fuerte San FranciscoFirpo
22.2Attack54.5
47.2Defence78.8
22.2Form63.6
33.5Power65.4
0.37xG1.73