Fuerte San Franciscovs
Cacahuatique
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cacahuatique · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 Cacahuatique, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 Cacahuatique
Original prediction
Cacahuatique
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.4% | 28.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.4% | 30.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.2% | 41.2% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Projected Score
Fuerte San Francisco 0–0 Cacahuatique
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Cacahuatique
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Cacahuatique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60