FSV Zwickauvs
Tasmania Berlin
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FSV Zwickau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FSV Zwickau 2-0 Tasmania Berlin
Original prediction
FSV Zwickau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.4% | 59.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.3% | 20.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.3% | 19.6% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
FSV Zwickau
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
FSV Zwickau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20