GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/4/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FSV Zwickau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FSV Zwickau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Luckenwalde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Zwickau hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while FSV Zwickau holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FSV Zwickau

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

FSV Zwickau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FSV ZwickauLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
LuckenwaldeWLWWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FSV ZwickauLuckenwalde
25.0Attack25.0
41.7Defence33.3
33.3Form25.0
36.8Power31.6
1.53xG1.19
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