FSV Zwickauvs
Altglienicke
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altglienicke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FSV Zwickau 1-2 Altglienicke
Original prediction
Altglienicke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.7% | 35.5% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 25.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 39.5% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Altglienicke
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Altglienicke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60