FSV Mainz 05vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FSV Mainz 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Original prediction
FSV Mainz 05
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 51.8% | 52.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 23.7% | 23.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 24.5% | 24.1% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
FSV Mainz 05
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
FSV Mainz 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/0.20
GF 20 · GA 15 · avg 4.00/3.00