Friendlies Clubs
FSV Mainz 05 II
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Kreuzlingen
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
The model projects 1.69 xG for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.14 xG for Kreuzlingen — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Kreuzlingen holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.82 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFSV Mainz 05 IIKreuzlingenProbability breakdown
Kreuzlingen leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kreuzlingen: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw
FSV Mainz 05 II host Kreuzlingen in Friendlies Clubs. FSV Mainz 05 II have recorded DLWWWW in recent matches while Kreuzlingen arrive with a run of WLDLLW.
Why GoalVio backs this
The xG model projects 1.69 for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.14 for Kreuzlingen. The gap of 0.55 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.
Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠FSV Mainz 05 II have been conceding 1.88 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Recent form
FSV Mainz 05 II
Kreuzlingen
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kreuzlingen?
GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kreuzlingen?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-0.
Will both teams score in FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kreuzlingen?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kreuzlingen?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.