GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/15/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FSV Mainz 05 II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

FSV Mainz 05 II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Balingen are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 II hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while FSV Mainz 05 II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FSV Mainz 05 II

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

FSV Mainz 05 II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FSV Mainz 05 IILDWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BalingenLDDLD

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
FSV Mainz 05 IIBalingen
54.9Attack53.9
41.2Defence17.6
49.0Form30.4
49.5Power35.5
3.09xG1.70
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