Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202613:00Updated today
FS Třebíč

FS Třebíč

Home
L
vs
13:00
Hluk

Hluk

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hluk33%
FS Třebíč33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
FS Třebíč
33%
Draw
33%
Hluk
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.89 xG for FS Třebíč and 1.63 xG for Hluk — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.26), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — FS Třebíč finding the net in 8 of 10 matches and Hluk in 2 of 2. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.52 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (FS Třebíč)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FS Třebíč)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FS TřebíčFS Třebíč
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
FS Třebíč33%
Draw33%
Hluk33%

Hluk leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

FS Třebíč vs Hluk: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

FS Třebíč host Hluk in Friendlies Clubs. FS Třebíč have recorded WDDWLL in recent matches while Hluk arrive with a run of LL.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • FS Třebíč have been conceding 3.00 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

FS Třebíč

FS Třebíč

L
@ Pelhřimov
17 May 2026
25

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FS Třebíč vs Hluk?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FS Třebíč vs Hluk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in FS Třebíč vs Hluk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FS Třebíč vs Hluk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more