FS Jelgavavs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FS Jelgava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FS Jelgava 0-1 Super Nova
Original prediction
FS Jelgava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.6% | 42.5% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 26.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.4% | 31.0% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
FS Jelgava
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
FS Jelgava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80