FS Jelgavavs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FS Jelgava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Super Nova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Virsliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20