VirsligaVirsliga
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 12:39
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

Home
L
01
Full time
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

Away
WW
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Draw(26%)
Prediction missed— Result: Rīgas FS
Win probability
FS Jelgava
34%
Draw
26%
Rīgas FS
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FS Jelgava
9
Rīgas FS
73
Defence
FS Jelgava
6
Rīgas FS
82
Momentum
FS Jelgava
0
Rīgas FS
100
Danger (xG)
FS Jelgava
0.00
Rīgas FS
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FS Jelgava)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Rīgas FS)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FS Jelgava)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Rīgas FS)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
LWWWD
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
WWWWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
FS Jelgava34%
Draw26%
Rīgas FS40%

Rīgas FS leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FS Jelgava head into this in Virsliga fixture at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs in mixed form (L), while Rīgas FS arrive in decent form (WW). FS Jelgava have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Rīgas FS over 2 games.

Tactically, Rīgas FS hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable FS Jelgava defence (6/100), while FS Jelgava's attack faces a watertight Rīgas FS backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

FS Jelgava have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Rīgas FS have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between FS Jelgava and Rīgas FS in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 40% confidence. Win probabilities: FS Jelgava 3424%, Draw 2613%, Rīgas FS 3963%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

L
@ Riga
3 Jul 2026
03
W
vs Grobiņa
29 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Super Nova
25 Jun 2026
51
W
vs Tukums
21 Jun 2026
41
D
@ Riga
16 May 2026
22
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

W
vs Glentoran
16 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Glentoran
9 Jul 2026
21
W
vs BFC Daugavpils
30 Jun 2026
31
W
@ FK Liepaja
26 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Ogre United
22 Jun 2026
60

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more