GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

FS Jelgava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

84.2%

Model confidence

15.1%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FS JelgavaLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rīgas FSLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
32.1Attack82.7
43.6Defence77.3
32.1Form86.7
37.0Power81.2
0.50xG2.90
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