GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/1/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

FS Jelgava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

82.8%

Model confidence

82.8%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FS JelgavaLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rīgas FSWDDDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
32.1Attack82.7
43.6Defence77.3
32.1Form86.7
37.0Power81.2
0.50xG2.90
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