GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 3/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FS Jelgava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FS Jelgava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Grobiņa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FS Jelgava hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Virsliga, while FS Jelgava holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FS Jelgava

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

FS Jelgava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FS JelgavaDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GrobiņaLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FS JelgavaGrobiņa
32.1Attack23.1
43.6Defence39.7
32.1Form26.9
37.0Power32.5
1.27xG0.84
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