GGOALVIO

FS Jelgava logoFS JelgavavsBFC Daugavpils logoBFC Daugavpils

COMPLETED

Latvia · Virsliga · 3/17/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BFC Daugavpils · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

FS Jelgava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BFC Daugavpils

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

BFC Daugavpils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FS JelgavaLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BFC DaugavpilsLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
32.1Attack42.3
43.6Defence60.3
32.1Form46.2
37.0Power51.0
0.79xG1.37
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