Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frøya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frøya are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Stord are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Stord hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Frøya holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frøya
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Frøya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00