Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frosinone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frosinone are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pisa are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Frosinone hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Coppa Italia, while Frosinone holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frosinone
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Frosinone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.50