Frosinone U19vs
Palermo U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palermo U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frosinone U19 0-0 Palermo U19
Original prediction
Palermo U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.2% | 29.3% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.6% | 25.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.2% | 45.1% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Palermo U19
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Palermo U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60