Frome Townvs
Taunton Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frome Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frome Town 2-2 Taunton Town
Original prediction
Frome Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.7% | 53.7% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 20.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.3% | 25.6% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Frome Town
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Frome Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40