GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/13/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frome Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Frome Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frome Town hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (98.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Frome Town holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frome Town

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Frome Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Frome TownWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownWDWLL

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Frome TownMerthyr Town
100.0Attack67.5
100.0Defence53.2
100.0Form53.2
98.0Power57.2
1.96xG1.53
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