Frome Townvs
Hanwell Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frome Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frome Town 2-2 Hanwell Town
Original prediction
Frome Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.5% | 45.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 28.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.4% | 26.5% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Frome Town
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Frome Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80