Frome Townvs
Bath City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frome Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frome Town 1-0 Bath City
Original prediction
Frome Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.9% | 50.1% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 25.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.5% | 24.2% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Frome Town
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Frome Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00