Friska Viljorvs
IFK Umeå
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friska Viljor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (12%), 5-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Friska Viljor 5-1 IFK Umeå
Original prediction
Friska Viljor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 82.1% | 84.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 8.20 | 11.3% | 9.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 14.00 | 6.6% | 6.3% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–012%
- 2.5–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Friska Viljor
Probability
84.0%
Model confidence
84.0%
Friska Viljor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40