Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frigg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Frigg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Skedsmo are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Frigg hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 36.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the 3. Division - Girone 1, while Frigg holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frigg
Probability
76.2%
Model confidence
76.2%
Frigg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00