Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frigg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 4-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Frigg 5-2 IF Ready
Original prediction
Frigg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.5% | 52.9% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.5% | 25.1% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.4–27%
Predicted outcome
Frigg
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Frigg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FriggDWWWD
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IF ReadyLLDWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FriggIF Ready
100.0Attack33.3
42.3Defence66.7
71.8Form33.3
68.1Power45.3
4.04xG1.78