Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Friedberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wolfhagen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20