GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/4/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLDDDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
WeidenhausenWDWDW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergWeidenhausen
66.7Attack60.8
66.7Defence45.1
77.8Form49.0
72.8Power51.5
2.26xG1.55
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