GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWWDW

GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergWeidenhausen
66.7Attack60.8
66.7Defence45.1
77.8Form49.0
72.8Power51.5
2.26xG1.55
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