Friedbergvs
Weidenhausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Friedberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60