GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/24/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

71.9%

Model confidence

71.9%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLLWWW

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
WaldgirmesWWDWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergWaldgirmes
66.7Attack47.1
66.7Defence25.5
77.8Form39.2
72.8Power39.6
3.16xG1.16
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