Friedbergvs
Waldgirmes
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/7/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Friedberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
71.9%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20