GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Viktoria Griesheim are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

74.6%

Model confidence

74.6%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLDWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Viktoria GriesheimLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FriedbergViktoria Griesheim
66.7Attack38.2
66.7Defence30.4
77.8Form32.4
72.8Power36.0
2.99xG0.93
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