GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/27/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLLDWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FriedbergVfb Marburg
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form66.7
72.8Power64.8
1.81xG1.39
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