GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/29/2024, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergVfb Marburg
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form66.7
72.8Power64.8
1.81xG1.39
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