GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 6/1/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FriedbergVfb Marburg
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form66.7
72.8Power64.8
1.81xG1.39
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