GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/25/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SV Steinbach are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLWWWD

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SV SteinbachLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergSV Steinbach
66.7Attack45.1
66.7Defence32.4
77.8Form32.4
72.8Power39.0
2.89xG1.11
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