GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/7/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 59.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 13.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

69.7%

Model confidence

69.7%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergRot-Weiß Walldorf
66.7Attack22.2
66.7Defence0.0
77.8Form0.0
72.8Power13.7
2.89xG1.10
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