GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 59.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 13.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

69.7%

Model confidence

69.7%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLWDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfDWDDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergRot-Weiß Walldorf
66.7Attack22.2
66.7Defence0.0
77.8Form0.0
72.8Power13.7
2.89xG1.10
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