Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kassel 2 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25