Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kassel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 45.2-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60