Friedbergvs
Hummetroth
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hummetroth are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
72.2%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20