GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/8/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hummetroth are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

72.2%

Model confidence

72.2%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HummetrothLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergHummetroth
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
77.8Form0.0
72.8Power15.3
3.04xG1.08
View match centre →