Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Friedberg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Hanau 93 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60
GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80