Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Friedberg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hanau 93 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80