Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Gießen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20