GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/17/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

73.5%

Model confidence

73.5%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FriedbergFC 1906 Erlensee
66.7Attack41.2
66.7Defence30.4
77.8Form26.5
72.8Power34.5
3.01xG1.00
View match centre →