Friedbergvs
FC 1906 Erlensee
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/17/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Friedberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00