GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/21/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Eintracht Stadtallendorf are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Eintracht StadtallendorfWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergEintracht Stadtallendorf
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence58.3
77.8Form41.7
72.8Power52.7
2.03xG1.50
View match centre →