GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Eintracht Stadtallendorf are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWWDL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Eintracht StadtallendorfWLWLL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergEintracht Stadtallendorf
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence58.3
77.8Form41.7
72.8Power52.7
2.03xG1.50
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