GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/9/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Friedberg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eddersheim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 62.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FriedbergWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EddersheimWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergEddersheim
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form55.6
72.8Power62.7
1.92xG1.52
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